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Brent climbed above $72 a barrel after tumbling more than 6% over the previous two sessions, and West Texas Intermediate surpassed $68. While one Israeli minister suggested that the war with Hezbollah could be over by year-end, the country’s military chief vowed to strike Iran “very hard” should the OPEC producer launch another attack.
The commodity’s gains were bolstered on Wednesday after data from the ADP Research Institute showed hiring at US companies accelerated by the most in over a year, while Reuters reported that OPEC+ nations could delay plans to revive oil production in December, citing unnamed sources. However, two OPEC+ delegates said that the group hasn't begun discussions yet.
Voters say their most important issue in this presidential election is the economy, and with less than a week until Election Day, they are about to be given a lot of homework. There will be a rush of economic reports dropping before November 5, and you're about to see a lot of data condensed and stripped of context for headlines and speeches.
As if there wasn't enough chaos, the Boeing strike and aftermath of Hurricanes Helene and Milton will likely muddle some of the data. In the final stretch of automated texts asking for $20, here's an economy vibe check: Two new reports released yesterday seemed to signal a positive-but-cooling labor market, while the US government will release its first estimate of last quarter's GDP growth today, which is expected to be a healthy 3%. A report on Thursday measuring personal consumption expenditures is expected to show inflation dropping to 2.1% in September, tantalizingly close to the Fed's 2% goal. The big one on Friday, October's jobs report, will offer a blurry look at the labor market, with an expected 4.1% unemployment rate (the lowest preelection unemployment rate in 24 years) but a sluggish job growth rate because of the strike and hurricanes. It's hard to say whether the deluge of percentage point changes will make a difference to voters, especially in this tight election, as gas prices, which presidents have little control over, are nonetheless near a three-year low.
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